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Fantasy Nascar is personally one of my favorite games, as there are so many attributes to this game. There are so many ways to go about it. We are always looking for ways to get advantage over our competition. Weather it is digging into advance stats, reading too much into drivers' interviews or putting too much into practice data. There is no other fantasy sports game that we (as game players) have so much to consider. And I absolutely love it!
I think always the biggest question about Fantasy Nascar is when do you take a risk with a pick? That's the age old question. Really, it comes down to luck. You may pick a driver and he wrecks out. The follow week, you avoid him and he wins the race. How many times have we seen that? Too many times. That's name of the game though. If you aren't willing to take the risk, then you aren't gonna be rewarded for being bold. Does it have it consequences? Absolutely. Trust me, it sucks when things go poorly. But you know what is worse? Not gambling on a driver that you thought had a lot of potential and he goes out there finishes in the top 5. But you know what, you weren't ballsy enough to risk it. You know what? Fuck that, I rather go down swinging every week. If I think someone is worth the risk, then you bet your ass I will roll the dice. I guaranteed it!
I am fired up now! Let's get into today's picks!
Sleepers -
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Stenhouse Jr is having a great season on the 1.5 mile tracks and could easily challenge for a top 15 finish in tonight's race. In five 1.5 mile tracks this season, he's posted four finishes of 15th or better. Two tracks that were recently repave were Kansas and Texas. He had finishes of 11th and 14th, if you are looking for some comparison. Stenhouse Jr also has a lot of momentum coming off his second win of the season. In his past 10 Cup races (since Bristol), he has finished 7 of those 10 races in the top 11. Yes, 11th or better in 70% of his past 10 races. Including combined 5 Top 10 finishes, with 2 of those races ending wins. In his past 4 races, he has finished 8th or better three times. He will start from 18th, but I project him to close to a top 10-12 finisher (final finish position wise), when it is all said and done.
Daniel Suarez - Suarez is a legit sleeper this weekend at Kentucky Speedway! I love what he brings to the table. Early in the season, he was struggling to put together good performances, but got okay finishes. Now, he is starting run better and it has caught by attention. His last two finishes on the 1.5 mile tracks are most noticeable to me though. He's finished 11th at Charlotte and 7th at Kansas. I would say that Kansas is a better track to look at than Charlotte though. Suarez also is starting in the top 10. This is his best starting position on 1.5 mile tracks this season. Excluding Talladega, this is his second start from the top 10. He's started 3rd at Dover and finished 6th. The Gibbs cars are strong and Daniel will benefit from that.
Other good sleepers - Darrell Wallace Jr, Trevor Bayne, Kasey Kahne and Jamie Mac (if you want to consider him one)
Dark Horses -
Ryan Blaney - Blaney is a big question mark to me honestly. He's very fast and was happy with his car in practice. However, he always seems to find trouble. I don't know why, either! In his past 10 races this season, he has finished 24th or worse in 7 of those races. He does have a win and 8th place finish in his past four races though. That's good, but again his finishes are worrisome. But I have some great news for you though. Two of his best performances this season were on similar 1.5 mile tracks. He had a great car at Texas and finished 12th. He was good enough to win and led the most laps. At Kansas, he had the car to beat and could had won, but he had to finish 3rd. He led the most laps in that race, too. Why are those races important? They are both night races and both were repaved recently. I would consider those tracks the most comparison to Kentucky Speedway. I think he has a car capable of leading some laps on Saturday night, if something doesn't go horribly wrong.
Kyle Larson - Larson was considered a favorite entering practice, but things went south for him after not being able to qualify. In my mind, he is no longer a favorite to win, after missing qualifying. However, he is now a great dark horse pick. Many will likely overlook him as a race-winning contender and that's a huge mistake. Kyle has a great car for tonight's race and said it was really quick. I have no doubt that Larson will make it to the front. He did it at Texas, from the 32nd starting position and he will have to do it again. I wouldn't doubt this kid. He's especially a great play in differential position leagues. He's almost a must-have in my book for games such as Draft kings.
Other great dark horses - Chase Elliott, Matt Kenseth and Erik Jones
Have a question or want to chat?
Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
Fantasy Nascar is personally one of my favorite games, as there are so many attributes to this game. There are so many ways to go about it. We are always looking for ways to get advantage over our competition. Weather it is digging into advance stats, reading too much into drivers' interviews or putting too much into practice data. There is no other fantasy sports game that we (as game players) have so much to consider. And I absolutely love it!
I think always the biggest question about Fantasy Nascar is when do you take a risk with a pick? That's the age old question. Really, it comes down to luck. You may pick a driver and he wrecks out. The follow week, you avoid him and he wins the race. How many times have we seen that? Too many times. That's name of the game though. If you aren't willing to take the risk, then you aren't gonna be rewarded for being bold. Does it have it consequences? Absolutely. Trust me, it sucks when things go poorly. But you know what is worse? Not gambling on a driver that you thought had a lot of potential and he goes out there finishes in the top 5. But you know what, you weren't ballsy enough to risk it. You know what? Fuck that, I rather go down swinging every week. If I think someone is worth the risk, then you bet your ass I will roll the dice. I guaranteed it!
I am fired up now! Let's get into today's picks!
Sleepers -
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Stenhouse Jr is having a great season on the 1.5 mile tracks and could easily challenge for a top 15 finish in tonight's race. In five 1.5 mile tracks this season, he's posted four finishes of 15th or better. Two tracks that were recently repave were Kansas and Texas. He had finishes of 11th and 14th, if you are looking for some comparison. Stenhouse Jr also has a lot of momentum coming off his second win of the season. In his past 10 Cup races (since Bristol), he has finished 7 of those 10 races in the top 11. Yes, 11th or better in 70% of his past 10 races. Including combined 5 Top 10 finishes, with 2 of those races ending wins. In his past 4 races, he has finished 8th or better three times. He will start from 18th, but I project him to close to a top 10-12 finisher (final finish position wise), when it is all said and done.
Daniel Suarez - Suarez is a legit sleeper this weekend at Kentucky Speedway! I love what he brings to the table. Early in the season, he was struggling to put together good performances, but got okay finishes. Now, he is starting run better and it has caught by attention. His last two finishes on the 1.5 mile tracks are most noticeable to me though. He's finished 11th at Charlotte and 7th at Kansas. I would say that Kansas is a better track to look at than Charlotte though. Suarez also is starting in the top 10. This is his best starting position on 1.5 mile tracks this season. Excluding Talladega, this is his second start from the top 10. He's started 3rd at Dover and finished 6th. The Gibbs cars are strong and Daniel will benefit from that.
Other good sleepers - Darrell Wallace Jr, Trevor Bayne, Kasey Kahne and Jamie Mac (if you want to consider him one)
Dark Horses -
Ryan Blaney - Blaney is a big question mark to me honestly. He's very fast and was happy with his car in practice. However, he always seems to find trouble. I don't know why, either! In his past 10 races this season, he has finished 24th or worse in 7 of those races. He does have a win and 8th place finish in his past four races though. That's good, but again his finishes are worrisome. But I have some great news for you though. Two of his best performances this season were on similar 1.5 mile tracks. He had a great car at Texas and finished 12th. He was good enough to win and led the most laps. At Kansas, he had the car to beat and could had won, but he had to finish 3rd. He led the most laps in that race, too. Why are those races important? They are both night races and both were repaved recently. I would consider those tracks the most comparison to Kentucky Speedway. I think he has a car capable of leading some laps on Saturday night, if something doesn't go horribly wrong.
Kyle Larson - Larson was considered a favorite entering practice, but things went south for him after not being able to qualify. In my mind, he is no longer a favorite to win, after missing qualifying. However, he is now a great dark horse pick. Many will likely overlook him as a race-winning contender and that's a huge mistake. Kyle has a great car for tonight's race and said it was really quick. I have no doubt that Larson will make it to the front. He did it at Texas, from the 32nd starting position and he will have to do it again. I wouldn't doubt this kid. He's especially a great play in differential position leagues. He's almost a must-have in my book for games such as Draft kings.
Other great dark horses - Chase Elliott, Matt Kenseth and Erik Jones
Have a question or want to chat?
Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
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